Estimates
Source: S&P Capital IQ consensus via Xpressfeed · Generated 2026-07-25.
Hamilton Lane's consensus tape shows a near-term upgrade cycle: FY2027 revenue and normalized EPS have both been raised over the past quarter, even as FY2028 estimates were trimmed. The company has beaten normalized-EPS consensus six quarters running, several times by more than 30%, though its most recent quarter saw revenue fall just short. Forward growth stays strong, with revenue compounding in the high teens, but coverage thins sharply beyond FY2028. All figures are in USD.
FY2027 estimates raised ~3-4% in 90 days while FY2028 is trimmed ~3%
The bifurcation is modest but directional: strength is being pulled into FY2027 rather than added to FY2028.
Currency: USD · Scale: money in millions, absolute · Point-in-time consensus; Δ90d is Now versus 90d.
| Metric | FY | 180d | 90d | 30d | Now | Δ90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS (normalized) | FY2027 | $6.28 | $6.01 | $6.10 | $6.26 | +4.3% |
| EPS (normalized) | FY2028 | $7.61 | $7.44 | $7.40 | $7.36 | -1.0% |
| Revenue | FY2027 | $909.65m | $878.44m | $886.39m | $904.23m | +2.9% |
| Revenue | FY2028 | $1.08bn | $1.06bn | $1.05bn | $1.05bn | -0.4% |
Beat / miss record
The scale and persistence of the EPS surprises is consistent with conservative guidance; the FY2026 Q4 revenue miss is the first crack in an otherwise strong top-line record.
Current sequences by metric: Revenue: 1 consecutive miss; EPS (normalized): 6 consecutive beats.
Currency: USD · Scale: money in millions, absolute · Consensus is captured before each actual first became effective.
| Quarter | Metric | Consensus | Actual | Surprise | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2026 | Revenue | $203.05m | $193.57m | -4.7% | Miss |
| Q4 FY2026 | EPS (normalized) | $1.43 | $1.49 | +4.5% | Beat |
| Q3 FY2026 | Revenue | $195.52m | $198.59m | +1.6% | Beat |
| Q3 FY2026 | EPS (normalized) | $1.33 | $1.55 | +16.9% | Beat |
| Q2 FY2026 | Revenue | $169.44m | $190.88m | +12.7% | Beat |
| Q2 FY2026 | EPS (normalized) | $1.10 | $1.54 | +39.8% | Beat |
| Q1 FY2026 | Revenue | $162.38m | $175.96m | +8.4% | Beat |
| Q1 FY2026 | EPS (normalized) | $0.99 | $1.31 | +32.6% | Beat |
| Q4 FY2025 | Revenue | $170.69m | $197.97m | +16.0% | Beat |
| Q4 FY2025 | EPS (normalized) | $1.17 | $1.21 | +3.1% | Beat |
| Q3 FY2025 | Revenue | $157.95m | $168.26m | +6.5% | Beat |
| Q3 FY2025 | EPS (normalized) | $1.10 | $1.25 | +13.7% | Beat |
| Q2 FY2025 | Revenue | $154.17m | $150.00m | -2.7% | Miss |
| Q2 FY2025 | EPS (normalized) | $1.09 | $1.07 | -1.7% | Miss |
| Q1 FY2025 | Revenue | $152.52m | $196.73m | +29.0% | Beat |
| Q1 FY2025 | EPS (normalized) | $1.13 | $1.51 | +33.9% | Beat |
Revenue compounds in the high teens then decelerates; EPS growth reaccelerates in FY2028
FY2029 rests on just two analysts, so read the outer year as indicative rather than settled.
Currency: USD · Scale: money in millions, absolute · YoY uses the prior fiscal year from the feed; analyst count and range use the first displayed period.
| Metric | FY2026A | FY2027E | FY2028E | FY2029E | YoY | Analysts | Low / high |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $767.03m | $904.23m | $1.05bn | $1.15bn | +7.6% | 5 | $760.59m / $771.41m |
| EPS (normalized) | $5.74 | $6.26 | $7.36 | $8.24 | +13.9% | 6 | $5.35 / $5.85 |
Analysts span $5.30-$6.61 on FY2027 EPS, a ~21% spread across 7 estimates
FY2028 revenue is similarly unsettled, ranging from roughly $989M to $1.11B across five analysts.
Currency: USD · Scale: money in millions, absolute · Spread/mean is absolute high-low divided by absolute mean.
| Metric | Period | Mean | Low–high | Spread/mean | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS (normalized) | FY2027E | $6.26 | $5.30–$6.61 | 20.9% | 7 |
| Revenue | FY2028E | $1.05bn | $988.50m–$1.11bn | 11.5% | 5 |
Street snapshot
Currency: USD · Scale: money in millions, absolute · Analyst counts shown explicitly.
| Street view | Reading | Analysts |
|---|---|---|
| Recommendation mix | Buy 4, Outperform 2, Hold 1, Underperform 0, Sell 0 | 7 |
| Consensus score | 1.57 | 7 |
| Target price | mean $126.9; median $123.0; high $174.0; low $94.00 | 7 |